Statistics Profile

Carrie Owens

1977

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1956	1366 - 2545	1936	2424
Épée	Direct elimination	2186	1469 - 2902	1868	2488
Foil	Pool	1974	1642 - 2305	1768	3333
Foil	Direct elimination	1933	1218 - 2647	1899	2976
Saber	Pool	2012	1186 - 2837	2012	2367
Saber	Direct elimination	2215	1228 - 3201	2079	2653

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.