Statistics Profile

William Walker

1950

The Lab

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2128	1913 - 2342	2068	2949
Épée	Direct elimination	2400	1998 - 2801	2400	3108
Saber	Pool	2178	1706 - 2649	2178	2754
Saber	Direct elimination	2149	1308 - 2989	1602	2149

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.