Statistics Profile

Karl Schroeder

1992

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1888	1663 - 2112	1888	2255
Épée	Direct elimination	2280	1979 - 2580	1951	2636
Foil	Pool	1494	1206 - 1781	1494	1956
Foil	Direct elimination	1766	1348 - 2183	1760	1956

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.