Statistics Profile

Jay Jorgensen

1960

Sioux City Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1004	698 - 1309	1004	1345
Épée	Direct elimination	1315	675 - 1954	1315	1927
Foil	Pool	931	626 - 1235	931	1378
Foil	Direct elimination	889	126 - 1651	889	1202

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.