Statistics Profile

Christopher Robbins

1986

Rochester Youth Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1931	1759 - 2102	1931	2283
Épée	Direct elimination	2384	2172 - 2595	2384	3356
Foil	Pool	1634	1359 - 1908	1634	1911
Foil	Direct elimination	1763	1271 - 2254	1763	1999
Saber	Pool	2109	1459 - 2758	2109	2109
Saber	Direct elimination	1997	714 - 3279	1997	1997

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.