Statistics Profile

Alexander Bucevicius (Alex)

1987

Omaha Fencing Club Lincoln Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2519	2074 - 2963	2179	2519
Épée	Direct elimination	2795	2188 - 3401	2795	2920
Foil	Pool	1791	929 - 2652	1791	1791
Foil	Direct elimination	2833	1759 - 3906	2833	2833
Saber	Pool	2409	1571 - 3246	2409	2409
Saber	Direct elimination	2616	1544 - 3687	2616	2616

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.