Statistics Profile

Alexander Bucevicius (Alex)

1987
Omaha Fencing Club Lincoln Fencing Club
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2325 1917 - 2732 2179 2518
Épée Direct elimination 2816 2264 - 3367 2795 2920
Foil Pool 1791 929 - 2652 1791 1791
Foil Direct elimination 2833 1759 - 3906 2833 2833
Saber Pool 2409 1571 - 3246 2409 2409
Saber Direct elimination 2616 1544 - 3687 2616 2616

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.