Statistics Profile

Jacob Joram

1996

Denver Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2441	1882 - 2999	2441	2441
Foil	Pool	2266	1816 - 2715	2266	2849
Foil	Direct elimination	1969	1099 - 2838	1883	2265
Saber	Pool	1941	1073 - 2808	1941	1941
Saber	Direct elimination	2551	1347 - 3754	2551	2551

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.