Statistics Profile

Jason Mighell

1963

Denver Fencing Center Mile High Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	3226	1978 - 4473	3226	3226
Foil	Direct elimination	2659	1155 - 4162	2659	2659
Saber	Pool	2053	1880 - 2225	2053	2641
Saber	Direct elimination	2044	1796 - 2291	2044	2586

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.