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Statistics Profile

Tobias Lee

1972
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2519 2346 - 2691 2232 2887
Épée Direct elimination 2935 2758 - 3111 1749 3187
Foil Pool 2318 2128 - 2507 2318 2818
Foil Direct elimination 2697 2423 - 2970 2659 3036
Saber Pool 2150 1411 - 2888 2150 2150
Saber Direct elimination 2822 1765 - 3878 2822 2822

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.