Statistics Profile

Tobias Lee

1972

Metro Tacoma Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2505	2332 - 2677	2232	2887
Épée	Direct elimination	2927	2750 - 3103	1749	3187
Foil	Pool	2292	2103 - 2480	2292	2818
Foil	Direct elimination	2668	2398 - 2937	2659	3036
Saber	Pool	2150	1411 - 2888	2150	2150
Saber	Direct elimination	2822	1765 - 3878	2822	2822

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.