Statistics Profile

Adam Lapallo

1996

Blue Ridge Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1674	857 - 2490	1674	1674
Épée	Direct elimination	1700	508 - 2891	1700	1700
Foil	Pool	2177	1641 - 2712	1558	2177
Foil	Direct elimination	2551	1765 - 3336	2544	2551

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.