Statistics Profile

Joe Gumprich

1996

Richmond Fencing Club University of Virginia Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2255	1950 - 2559	2090	2381
Épée	Direct elimination	2212	1733 - 2690	2044	2324
Foil	Pool	2603	2314 - 2891	2563	2833
Foil	Direct elimination	2742	2423 - 3060	2183	2944

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.