Statistics Profile

Dominic Cerchia

1999

The Phoenix Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2219	1861 - 2576	1843	2276
Épée	Direct elimination	2395	1862 - 2927	2083	2520
Saber	Pool	2921	1482 - 4359	2921	2921
Saber	Direct elimination	2921	1482 - 4359	2921	2921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.