Statistics Profile

Andrew Lee

1999

Metro Tacoma Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2853	2650 - 3055	2853	3457
Épée	Direct elimination	3360	3146 - 3573	2639	3583
Foil	Pool	2600	2108 - 3091	2600	2986
Foil	Direct elimination	2550	1760 - 3339	1942	2550

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.