Statistics Profile

Anthony Fogg (Tony)

1980

Rogue Fencers Guild

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1888	1031 - 2744	1888	1888
Épée	Direct elimination	1954	877 - 3030	1954	1954
Foil	Pool	888	56 - 1719	888	888
Foil	Direct elimination	1716	520 - 2911	1716	1716

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.