Statistics Profile

Andrew Iford

1998

All-American Fencing Academy Wallingford-Swarthmore Panthers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1867	1589 - 2144	1368	2001
Épée	Direct elimination	2306	1880 - 2731	2192	2595
Foil	Pool	2042	1754 - 2329	1774	2080
Foil	Direct elimination	2456	2031 - 2880	2137	2565

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.