Statistics Profile

Drew Laun

1999

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3004	1828 - 4179	3004	3004
Épée	Direct elimination	2353	1369 - 3336	2353	2353
Foil	Pool	2733	2406 - 3059	2705	3241
Foil	Direct elimination	2873	2442 - 3303	2873	3216

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.