Statistics Profile

Wesley Chen

1993

Apex Fencing Academy Fencing Club At NC State

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2436	2252 - 2619	2420	2723
Épée	Direct elimination	2892	2657 - 3126	2480	3110
Saber	Pool	2695	1819 - 3570	2695	2695
Saber	Direct elimination	2836	1650 - 4021	2836	2836

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.