Statistics Profile

Mahlon Dunnell

1992

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2740	2122 - 3357	2740	2746
Foil	Direct elimination	2204	1431 - 2976	2204	2648
Saber	Pool	1660	1473 - 1846	1660	2208
Saber	Direct elimination	1545	1193 - 1896	1331	2042

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.