Statistics Profile

Thomas Petrosewicz

1998

Alliance Fencing Academy Fort Bend Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2660	2450 - 2869	2660	3178
Épée	Direct elimination	3292	3000 - 3583	3089	3522
Foil	Pool	1893	1493 - 2292	1778	1893
Foil	Direct elimination	2464	1789 - 3138	2464	3168

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.