Statistics Profile

Emma Moran

2001

Texas Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2581	2162 - 2999	2502	2588
Foil	Direct elimination	2630	1687 - 3572	2301	2756
Saber	Pool	2940	2529 - 3350	2744	2940
Saber	Direct elimination	1960	806 - 3113	1960	2370

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.