Statistics Profile

Quinlyn Morgan (Quin)

2001

Wayne State University NCAA Heartland Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2424	1764 - 3083	2424	2424
Épée	Direct elimination	2827	1782 - 3871	2827	2827
Foil	Pool	2923	2716 - 3129	2910	3318
Foil	Direct elimination	3314	3005 - 3622	3221	3934

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.