Statistics Profile

Naneen Chace-Ortiz

1970

Portland Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1404	1213 - 1594	1385	2009
Épée	Direct elimination	1622	1264 - 1979	1622	2263
Foil	Pool	1538	1335 - 1740	1525	2649
Foil	Direct elimination	1427	1034 - 1819	1379	1989

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.