Statistics Profile

Jasmine An

1992

Ann Arbor Dueling Society

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1284	582 - 1985	1284	1284
Épée	Direct elimination	2120	1116 - 3123	2120	2120
Foil	Pool	1668	1089 - 2246	1317	1790
Foil	Direct elimination	2875	1526 - 4223	2875	2875

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.