Statistics Profile

Riley Parker

2004

Texas Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2371	2202 - 2539	2003	2734
Épée	Direct elimination	2717	2500 - 2933	1998	2771
Foil	Pool	1612	649 - 2574	1612	1612
Foil	Direct elimination	2010	703 - 3316	2010	2312
Saber	Pool	2496	2173 - 2818	2354	2707
Saber	Direct elimination	2393	1770 - 3015	2393	2687

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.