Statistics Profile

Kenneth Spatz

1965

South Denver Fencing Academy Central Arkansas Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1296	1006 - 1585	1099	1471
Épée	Direct elimination	1583	997 - 2168	1558	1823
Foil	Pool	1309	1040 - 1577	1309	1635
Foil	Direct elimination	1629	1156 - 2101	1452	1814

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.