Statistics Profile

Sean Cornwell

1980

Mississippi Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2690	1821 - 3558	2690	2690
Épée	Direct elimination	2496	1236 - 3755	2496	2496
Foil	Pool	2159	1563 - 2754	2044	2159
Foil	Direct elimination	2203	1290 - 3115	2203	2236

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.