Statistics Profile

Zachary Morey

1994

Tidewater Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2463	2223 - 2702	2463	2880
Épée	Direct elimination	2388	2003 - 2772	2005	2581
Foil	Pool	2033	1820 - 2245	1953	2123
Foil	Direct elimination	2443	2126 - 2759	2171	2591
Saber	Pool	2107	1684 - 2529	2107	3194
Saber	Direct elimination	1854	1173 - 2534	1854	2488

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.