Statistics Profile

Ian Dube

1986

Edge of America Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2378	2104 - 2651	2261	2838
Épée	Direct elimination	2419	2039 - 2798	2419	3318
Foil	Pool	1457	1144 - 1769	1457	1791
Foil	Direct elimination	2267	1850 - 2683	2267	2514

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.