Statistics Profile

Henry Villani

1998

Salle D'Escrime Of Prescott Augusta Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2125	1903 - 2346	1999	3549
Épée	Direct elimination	1999	1659 - 2338	1765	2238
Foil	Pool	1892	1464 - 2319	1892	2562
Foil	Direct elimination	2423	1907 - 2938	1810	2476

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.