Statistics Profile

Rachel Gordon

2001

Chesapeake Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2220	1949 - 2490	2056	2463
Épée	Direct elimination	2614	2053 - 3174	1998	2821
Foil	Pool	2151	1891 - 2410	2145	3352
Foil	Direct elimination	2148	1691 - 2604	1953	2576

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.