Statistics Profile

Paul Vag-Urminsky

2000

Staten Island Fencing Club New York Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3073	2864 - 3281	3056	3456
Épée	Direct elimination	3466	3147 - 3784	3220	3682
Foil	Pool	1744	754 - 2733	1744	1744
Foil	Direct elimination	2870	1576 - 4163	2870	2870

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.