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Statistics Profile

Alan Fotiyev

2000
Olympian Fencing Studio Stamford Fencing Center, LLC
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 3075 1755 - 4394 3075 3075
Épée Direct elimination 2921 1482 - 4359 2921 2921
Foil Pool 1507 636 - 2377 1507 1507
Foil Direct elimination 1654 460 - 2847 1654 1654
Saber Pool 2930 2618 - 3241 2930 3149
Saber Direct elimination 3140 2725 - 3554 2853 3140

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.