Statistics Profile

William Shih

2003

Silicon Valley Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2425	1903 - 2946	2425	2653
Épée	Direct elimination	2437	1666 - 3207	2272	2437
Foil	Pool	3256	3077 - 3434	2841	3715
Foil	Direct elimination	3461	3251 - 3670	2079	3637

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.