Statistics Profile

Erik Clippard

1981

Center for Blade Arts

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1559	1349 - 1768	1256	1559
Épée	Direct elimination	1756	1376 - 2135	1528	2119
Foil	Pool	1428	1247 - 1608	1282	1676
Foil	Direct elimination	1636	1379 - 1892	1587	2172

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.