Statistics Profile

Griffen Healy

1998

East Coast Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2368	1905 - 2830	2368	2501
Épée	Direct elimination	3084	2430 - 3737	2905	3084
Foil	Pool	3119	2897 - 3340	3060	3248
Foil	Direct elimination	3105	2751 - 3458	2687	3262

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.