Statistics Profile

Caiden Cannon

2003

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2362	1910 - 2813	2164	2400
Épée	Direct elimination	3094	2439 - 3748	2877	3374
Foil	Pool	3142	2968 - 3315	2147	3403
Foil	Direct elimination	3363	3153 - 3572	2496	3545

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.