Statistics Profile

Adam Barnett

2001

Durkan Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	3264	2070 - 4457	3264	3264
Foil	Direct elimination	3272	2016 - 4527	3272	3272
Saber	Pool	2895	2718 - 3071	2355	3245
Saber	Direct elimination	3271	3091 - 3450	3221	3996

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.