Statistics Profile

Alex Kim

1999

Emory University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	3388	2422 - 4353	2876	3388
Foil	Direct elimination	3068	2332 - 3803	3068	3423
Saber	Pool	2135	1187 - 3082	2135	2135
Saber	Direct elimination	2380	1218 - 3541	2380	2380

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.