Statistics Profile

Patrick Malloy

1998

Olympic Fencers Club Georgia Southern University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2771	2559 - 2982	2737	2872
Épée	Direct elimination	3089	2858 - 3319	2558	3507
Foil	Pool	2915	2460 - 3369	2889	3292
Foil	Direct elimination	2534	2083 - 2984	1879	2534

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.