Statistics Profile

Zach Wilkens

2002

South Coast Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2456	2210 - 2701	2357	2869
Épée	Direct elimination	3008	2642 - 3373	2496	3250
Foil	Pool	2838	2428 - 3247	2104	2838
Foil	Direct elimination	3082	2469 - 3694	2079	3082

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.