Statistics Profile

Matthew Comes

1998

The Ohio State University NCAA Kaizen Academy LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3454	3205 - 3702	3173	3454
Épée	Direct elimination	3926	3578 - 4273	2532	3969
Saber	Pool	1614	826 - 2401	1614	1614
Saber	Direct elimination	2257	838 - 3675	2257	2257

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.