Statistics Profile

Lauren Milligan

1976

Savage Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2399	2161 - 2636	2399	2740
Épée	Direct elimination	2545	2109 - 2980	2371	2877
Foil	Pool	2856	2506 - 3205	2774	3213
Foil	Direct elimination	2704	2227 - 3180	2609	3084
Saber	Pool	1669	1196 - 2141	1669	1811
Saber	Direct elimination	2101	729 - 3472	2101	2101

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.