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Statistics Profile

Dylan Liu

Verified
2003

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2130 1951 - 2308 2000 2259
Épée Direct elimination 2317 2080 - 2553 2056 2512
Foil Pool 1460 931 - 1988 1460 1460
Foil Direct elimination 1640 531 - 2748 1640 1640
Saber Pool 1667 1367 - 1966 1583 1705
Saber Direct elimination 2258 1648 - 2867 2143 2344

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.