Statistics Profile

Katelyn Keegan

1983

DC Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1292	651 - 1932	1292	1531
Épée	Direct elimination	1340	225 - 2454	1340	1559
Foil	Pool	1277	412 - 2141	1277	1277
Foil	Direct elimination	2043	739 - 3346	2043	2043

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.