Statistics Profile

Collin McAdams (Collin)

1979

Gold Blade Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2082	1625 - 2538	2082	2529
Épée	Direct elimination	2188	1264 - 3111	2051	2259
Foil	Pool	2544	1761 - 3326	2544	2544
Foil	Direct elimination	2265	1115 - 3414	2265	2265

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.