Statistics Profile

Michael Jaklitsch

1998

Halberstadt Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2465	2227 - 2702	2465	3542
Épée	Direct elimination	2869	2582 - 3155	2869	3480
Saber	Pool	2207	1750 - 2663	2207	2513
Saber	Direct elimination	1796	857 - 2734	1755	1796

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.