Statistics Profile

Kevin Ham

2001

Northwest Indiana Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2328	1464 - 3191	2328	2328
Épée	Direct elimination	2230	1180 - 3279	2230	2230
Foil	Pool	1528	926 - 2129	1528	1694
Foil	Direct elimination	2071	1080 - 3061	2071	2110
Saber	Pool	2282	1997 - 2566	2282	2891
Saber	Direct elimination	2549	1990 - 3107	2419	2833

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.