Statistics Profile

Allison Hu

2002

Nazlymov Fencing Foundation

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2671	1811 - 3530	2671	2671
Foil	Direct elimination	2037	650 - 3423	2037	2037
Saber	Pool	2368	2186 - 2549	2194	2502
Saber	Direct elimination	2025	1655 - 2394	1684	2383

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.