Statistics Profile

Stephen Lee

1966

Halberstadt Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2268	1969 - 2566	2153	2406
Épée	Direct elimination	2566	1990 - 3141	2491	3378
Foil	Pool	2518	2268 - 2767	2518	3701
Foil	Direct elimination	2532	2131 - 2932	2469	2934
Saber	Pool	1555	893 - 2216	1555	1885
Saber	Direct elimination	2136	1011 - 3260	2136	2173

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.