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Statistics Profile

Nathan Peters

2002
Freehold Fencing Academy Virginia Tech Fencing Club
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2633 2423 - 2842 2590 2990
Épée Direct elimination 3071 2828 - 3313 2360 3390
Foil Pool 2737 2549 - 2924 2655 2971
Foil Direct elimination 3070 2851 - 3288 2079 3121
Saber Pool 1736 1331 - 2140 1736 2254
Saber Direct elimination 1379 488 - 2269 1379 2113

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.