Statistics Profile

Nathan Peters

2002

Freehold Fencing Academy Virginia Tech Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2633	2423 - 2842	2590	2990
Épée	Direct elimination	3071	2828 - 3313	2360	3390
Foil	Pool	2737	2549 - 2924	2655	2971
Foil	Direct elimination	3070	2851 - 3288	2079	3121
Saber	Pool	1736	1331 - 2140	1736	2254
Saber	Direct elimination	1379	488 - 2269	1379	2113

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.